PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Bosuilstadion

Royal Antwerp FC 3–1 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royal Antwerp FC won 3–1.

Shots
116
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.680.4
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Antwerp beat RAAL La Louvière 3–1. Recorded in this match (Antwerp – RAAL La Louvière): shots 11–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.68–0.4, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Antwerp have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.1% ●PossessionAntwerp · RAAL La Louvière33.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAntwerpRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession50.1%33.2%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Antwerp have a visible home split

moderate

Antwerp's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots6 shotsRoyal Antwerp FC 11 shots, RAAL La Louvière 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotRoyal Antwerp FC 5 shots, RAAL La Louvière 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.4 xGRoyal Antwerp FC 1.68 xG, RAAL La Louvière 0.4 xG
  • Possession69%31%Royal Antwerp FC 69%, RAAL La Louvière 31%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersRoyal Antwerp FC 7 corners, RAAL La Louvière 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsRoyal Antwerp FC 13 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsRoyal Antwerp FC 4 cards, RAAL La Louvière 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Antwerp · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThibo Somers · Antwerp · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBoubakar Kouyaté · Antwerp · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louvière · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeno Van Den Bosch · Antwerp · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZeno Van Den Bosch · Antwerp · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 72′ · 0.06 xG · goalMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 86′ · 0.08 xG · goalJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDarío Benavides · RAAL La Louvière · 24′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 63′ · 0.62 xG · goalVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 59′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antwerp: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.74 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vincent Janssen · Antwerp · 59′Marwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 63′Christopher Scott · Antwerp · 72′Alexis Beka Beka · RAAL La Louvière · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antwerp 1.74 xG · RAAL La Louvière 0.42 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royal Antwerp FC favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royal Antwerp FC14 matchesRAAL La Louvière15 matches
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/150.73 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.81 xG/match
11.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/159.27 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/152.4 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession14/1533.2%
4 corners/matchCorners14/154 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyal Antwerp FCRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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