PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 1–1 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge and SV Zulte Waregem drew 1–1.

Shots
1818
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
2.311.8
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge and Zulte Waregem drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Zulte Waregem): shots 18–18, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 2.31–1.8, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · Zulte Waregem12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeZulte WaregemBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots18 shotsCercle Brugge 18 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCercle Brugge 3 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG1.8 xGCercle Brugge 2.31 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 1.8 xG
  • Possession59%41%Cercle Brugge 59%, SV Zulte Waregem 41%
  • Corners0 corners3 cornersCercle Brugge 0 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls16 foulsCercle Brugge 5 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardCercle Brugge 0 cards, SV Zulte Waregem 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetStavros Gavriel · Zulte Waregem · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErick Nunes · Cercle Brugge · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYannick Cappelle · Zulte Waregem · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStavros Gavriel · Zulte Waregem · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 21′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakob Kiilerich · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStavros Gavriel · Zulte Waregem · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 44′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBenoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 44′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 77′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 44′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 24′ · 0.18 xG · goalOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 30′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 5′ · 0.22 xG · on targetOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 68′ · 0.26 xG · goalJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 36′ · 0.35 xG · on targetOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 54′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 49′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 18 shots, 3 on target, 2.36 xG. Zulte Waregem: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Oumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 68′Jeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 2.36 xG · Zulte Waregem 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Cercle Brugge
1Draws
0SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–3
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–1
SV Zulte Waregem — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge13 matchesSV Zulte Waregem12 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/121.25 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.17 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/1212.3 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲ 4.75 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession13/1246.1%
3.92 corners/matchCorners13/12● 4.33 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards12/121.75 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1211.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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