PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 1–1 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk and RAAL La Louvière drew 1–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.371.34
Possession
81%19%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk and RAAL La Louvière drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Genk – RAAL La Louvière): shots 17–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.37–1.34, possession 81%–19%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.62 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.7% ●PossessionGenk · RAAL La Louvière33.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 31.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenkRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession64.7%33.6%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsGenk · RAAL La Louvière9.62 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenkRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match9.62 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsKRC Genk 17 shots, RAAL La Louvière 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsKRC Genk 7 shots, RAAL La Louvière 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.34 xGKRC Genk 1.37 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.34 xG
  • Possession81%19%KRC Genk 81%, RAAL La Louvière 19%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersKRC Genk 9 corners, RAAL La Louvière 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsKRC Genk 13 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsKRC Genk 1 card, RAAL La Louvière 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Konstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikolas Sattlberger · Genk · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKen Nkuba · Genk · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gueulette · RAAL La Louvière · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMujaid Sadick · Genk · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 41′ · 0.07 xG · goalJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 29′ · 0.10 xG · on targetYira Collins Sor · Genk · 68′ · 0.12 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 83′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMohamed Guindo · RAAL La Louvière · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · Genk · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetMujaid Sadick · Genk · 85′ · 0.30 xG · on targetWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 8′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 8′ · 0.78 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.38 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Daan Heymans · Genk · 41′Jordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 1.38 xG · RAAL La Louvière 1.62 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk13 matchesRAAL La Louvière13 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.62 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.85 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/139.62 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/132.46 shots/match
64.7% ●Possession13/1333.6%
6.23 corners/match ●Corners13/134.23 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/121.75 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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