Premier League · 2025Sun, 24 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull time

Tottenham

1–0Full-time recap

Everton

This page now describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Key factors

The clearest supported patterns

Strength combines sample and difference. It is not a probability.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Home	Away	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham52.5

Everton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham37.5

Everton26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham49.2

Everton50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham17.5

Everton62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham92.5

Everton58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham67.5

Everton25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham58.1

Everton33.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

Metric	Tottenham	Everton
Goals scored	1.2 goals/match5 obs.	1.4 goals/match5 obs.
Goals allowed	0.8 goals/match5 obs.	2.2 goals/match5 obs.
Expected goals	1.22 xG/match5 obs.	1.4 xG/match5 obs.
Shots	13.2 shots/match5 obs.	11.4 shots/match5 obs.
Shots on target	3 shots/match5 obs.	4 shots/match5 obs.
Possession	55.4%5 obs.	44.2%5 obs.
Corners	7 corners/match5 obs.	5.8 corners/match5 obs.
Cards	—0 obs.	—0 obs.
Fouls	14 fouls/match5 obs.	14.2 fouls/match5 obs.

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

Metric	Tottenham	Everton
Goals scored	1 goals/match10 obs.	1.5 goals/match10 obs.
Goals allowed	1.4 goals/match10 obs.	1.7 goals/match10 obs.
Expected goals	1.15 xG/match9 obs.	1.24 xG/match9 obs.
Shots	12.9 shots/match10 obs.	11.4 shots/match10 obs.
Shots on target	4.2 shots/match10 obs.	4.7 shots/match10 obs.
Possession	50.1%10 obs.	43.7%10 obs.
Corners	7.1 corners/match10 obs.	4.5 corners/match10 obs.
Cards	—1 obs.	—1 obs.
Fouls	13.9 fouls/match10 obs.	11.2 fouls/match10 obs.

Window

Season

38 / 38 matches

Metric	Tottenham	Everton
Goals scored	1.26 goals/match38 obs.	1.24 goals/match38 obs.
Goals allowed	1.5 goals/match38 obs.	1.32 goals/match38 obs.
Expected goals	1.15 xG/match9 obs.	1.24 xG/match9 obs.
Shots	11.5 shots/match38 obs.	11.1 shots/match38 obs.
Shots on target	3.84 shots/match38 obs.	3.71 shots/match38 obs.
Possession	50.3%38 obs.	43.7%38 obs.
Corners	5.5 corners/match38 obs.	4.42 corners/match38 obs.
Cards	2.76 cards/match29 obs.	2.03 cards/match29 obs.
Fouls	12.1 fouls/match38 obs.	10.8 fouls/match38 obs.

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches

Metric	Tottenham	Everton
Goals scored	1.16 goals/match19 obs.	1.11 goals/match19 obs.
Goals allowed	1.63 goals/match19 obs.	1.21 goals/match19 obs.
Expected goals	1.13 xG/match4 obs.	1.09 xG/match5 obs.
Shots	12.7 shots/match19 obs.	9.95 shots/match19 obs.
Shots on target	3.84 shots/match19 obs.	3.11 shots/match19 obs.
Possession	51.4%19 obs.	41.1%19 obs.
Corners	6.21 corners/match19 obs.	3.89 corners/match19 obs.
Cards	3.2 cards/match15 obs.	2 cards/match14 obs.
Fouls	12.5 fouls/match19 obs.	11.1 fouls/match19 obs.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Metric	Home	Away	Competition	Samples
Goals scoredseason	1.26 goals/match40th	1.24 goals/match30th	1.33 goals/match	38 / 38
Goals allowedseason	1.5 goals/match83th	1.32 goals/match30th	1.36 goals/match	38 / 38
Expected goalsseason	1.15 xG/match18th	1.24 xG/match28th	1.4 xG/match	9 / 9
Expected goals allowedseason	0.97 xG/match8th	1.55 xG/match83th	1.41 xG/match	9 / 9
Shotsseason	11.5 shots/match33th	11.1 shots/match28th	12.6 shots/match	38 / 38
Shots allowedseason	12.2 shots/match43th	13.9 shots/match83th	12.4 shots/match	38 / 38
Shots on targetseason	3.84 shots/match40th	3.71 shots/match23th	4.03 shots/match	38 / 38
Shots on target allowedseason	3.95 shots/match28th	4.16 shots/match38th	4.26 shots/match	38 / 38
Possessionseason	50.3%53th	43.7%18th	50.2%	38 / 38
Cornersseason	5.5 corners/match68th	4.42 corners/match25th	4.91 corners/match	38 / 38
Corners allowedseason	4.79 corners/match23th	5.13 corners/match60th	4.99 corners/match	38 / 38
Cardsseason	2.76 cards/match93th	2.03 cards/match58th	1.91 cards/match	29 / 29
Foulsseason	12.1 fouls/match93th	10.8 fouls/match60th	10.6 fouls/match	38 / 38
Clean-sheet frequencyseason	24%43th	29%78th	24%	38 / 38
Scoring frequencyseason	82%73th	74%50th	74%	38 / 38

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Metric	Home	Away	Competition	Samples
Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures	4.82 days—	7.04 days—	—	1 / 1
Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures	2 matches—	1 matches—	—	1 / 1

What could change this?

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.