Premier League · 2025Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap

West Ham

DLWDL

4–0Full-time recap

Wolves

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham	Wolves
Shots	18 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.68 xG/match▲	0.56 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	5 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.75 goals/match	1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham

0Draws

1Wolves

3 Jan 2026Wolves — West Ham · Premier League3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 3 · 5 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/320.75 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.81 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/2—

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/2—

10.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/329.28 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/32▲14 shots/match

3.47 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.25 shots/match

5.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲4.69 shots/match

42.2%Possessionseason · 32/3243.6%

5.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.16 corners/match

6.41 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/32▲6 corners/match

1.86 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 29/302.27 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3213%

69%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5

Wolves22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham25.8

Wolves5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham9.2

Wolves12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham47.5

Wolves2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham57.5

Wolves87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham52.5

Wolves2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham41.2

Wolves28.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

9.6 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

40.8%Possession5/544%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match

—Cards2/33 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10.5 shots/matchShots10/1010.1 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

40.3%Possession10/1042%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/102.9 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards7/82.5 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored32/320.75 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.81 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10.4 shots/match▲Shots32/329.28 shots/match

3.47 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.25 shots/match

42.2%Possession32/3243.6%

5.03 corners/matchCorners32/323.16 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCards29/302.27 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls32/3213 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.44 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.69 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10.9 shots/match▲Shots16/169.13 shots/match

3.63 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163 shots/match

41.8%Possession16/1643.5%

5.5 corners/matchCorners16/163.5 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/142.86 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

19.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/125 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4