PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeMolineux StadiumFull-time recap

Wolves

DLLLL
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWolvesCrystal Palace
Shots8 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession48%52%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Wolves's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Wolves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.58 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolves have a visible home split

moderate

Wolves's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.42 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.42 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wolves show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.42 shots/match▲ShotsWolves · Crystal Palace12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolvesCrystal PalaceBaseline
Shots9.42 shots/match12.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Wolves favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 10 · 4 too close

0.58 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.33 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.42 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲12.1 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲10.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲4.42 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3 shots/match
47.4%Possessionseason · 12/1242.6%
3.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.83 corners/match
5.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲5.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲1.83 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%
42%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolves32.5
Crystal Palace12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolves5.8
Crystal Palace57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolves16.7
Crystal Palace83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolves7.5
Crystal Palace97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolves78.8
Crystal Palace42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolves7.5
Crystal Palace22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolves30
Crystal Palace45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
47.4%Possession5/544.4%
1.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match
48.6%Possession10/1044.1%
3 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
0.58 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.33 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.42 shots/matchShots12/12▲12.1 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.42 shots/match
47.4%Possession12/1242.6%
3.08 corners/matchCorners12/123.83 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards12/121.83 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots6/611.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/64 shots/match
50.7%Possession6/642.5%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/63.67 corners/match
1.17 cards/matchCards6/62.5 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWolvesCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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