PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

DDLW
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFulhamBrentford
Shots14 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession53%47%
Corners2 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/match▲FoulsFulham · Brentford12.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFulhamBrentfordBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match12.8 fouls/match10.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsFulham · Brentford8.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamBrentfordBaseline
Shots10 shots/match8.2 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match14 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%▲PossessionFulham · Brentford39.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamBrentfordBaseline
Possession51%39.4%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Brentford in 4 · 7 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/58.2 shots/match
10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/514 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲3.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/53.8 shots/match
51%Possessionseason · 5/539.4%
4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.2 corners/match
5.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲5 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.8 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham52.5
Brentford7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham34.2
Brentford30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham56.7
Brentford20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham17.5
Brentford27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham81.2
Brentford60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham42.5
Brentford57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham48.1
Brentford42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match
51%Possession5/539.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match
51%Possession5/539.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.2 shots/match
51%Possession5/539.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/match▲Shots3/38.33 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.33 shots/match
53%Possession3/346.3%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFulhamBrentford
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match