PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeCity GroundFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNottingham ForestWest Ham
Shots11 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession58%●42%
Corners9 corners/match●7 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Nottingham Forest have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCornersNottingham Forest · West Ham●7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNottingham ForestWest HamBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match7 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nottingham Forest have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.7%●PossessionNottingham Forest · West Ham48.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNottingham ForestWest HamBaseline
Possession56.7%48.7%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Nottingham Forest
0Draws
2West Ham
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–2
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League3–0
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League2–0
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Nottingham Forest favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35 shots/match
56.7%●Possessionseason · 3/348.7%
5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●7 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/30.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/37.67 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nottingham Forest75
West Ham41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nottingham Forest38.9
West Ham67.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nottingham Forest36.1
West Ham21.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nottingham Forest2.8
West Ham75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest37.5
West Ham2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest75
West Ham86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nottingham Forest49.3
West Ham61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest3 matchesWest Ham3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲12 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.33 shots/match
56.7%●Possession3/348.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●7 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/30.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/37.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Nottingham Forest2 matchesWest Ham2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.75 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNottingham ForestWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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