Premier League · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 15:30 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap

Liverpool

WW

1–0Full-time recap

Arsenal

WW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Arsenal
Shots	9 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Arsenal in 0 · 13 too close

2.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.33 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312.7 shots/match

10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.67 shots/match

58.7%●Possessionseason · 3/351.3%

3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●4.67 corners/match

7.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5

Arsenal57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool80.8

Arsenal69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool70

Arsenal57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool7.5

Arsenal82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool51.2

Arsenal65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool30

Arsenal52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool53.1

Arsenal59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool3 matchesArsenal3 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/matchShots3/3▲12.7 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match

58.7%●Possession3/351.3%

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●4.67 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool2 matchesArsenal2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards2/2—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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