PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedBurnley
Shots26 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession62%●38%
Corners7 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Manchester United have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Burnley9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBurnleyBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match9 shots/match10.7 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match17 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester United have recorded the higher season possession share.

57%●PossessionManchester United · Burnley37.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBurnleyBaseline
Possession57%37.7%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Burnley in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
19.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39 shots/match
9.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/317 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.33 shots/match
57%●Possessionseason · 3/337.7%
5.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.33 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
1 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38.67 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United87.5
Burnley4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United80.6
Burnley40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United65.3
Burnley11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United95.8
Burnley70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United22.9
Burnley31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United66.7
Burnley29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United72.9
Burnley29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United3 matchesBurnley3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match
5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
57%●Possession3/337.7%
5.33 corners/match●Corners3/33.33 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/38.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United2 matchesBurnley2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsManchester UnitedBurnley
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match
Manchester United vs Burnley — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath