PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSunderlandBrentford
Shots12 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession54%●46%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match●
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sunderland have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsSunderland · Brentford8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSunderlandBrentfordBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match8.67 shots/match10.7 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Sunderland have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.7%●PossessionSunderland · Brentford38.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSunderlandBrentfordBaseline
Possession49.7%38.7%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/38.67 shots/match
8.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.33 shots/match
49.7%●Possessionseason · 3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match
8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland62.5
Brentford12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland57
Brentford30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland76.4
Brentford41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland20.8
Brentford54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland12.5
Brentford52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland41.7
Brentford41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland34.4
Brentford39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sunderland3 matchesBrentford3 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/match▲Shots3/38.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/33 shots/match
49.7%●Possession3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
8 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sunderland2 matchesBrentford2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSunderlandBrentford
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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