Serie A · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LWLLL
12Full-time recap

Genoa

WWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaGenoa
Shots12 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.07 xG/match1.65 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Genoa have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.1%PossessionPisa · Genoa48.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPisaGenoaBaseline
Possession40.1%48.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Pisa
1Draws
0Genoa
GenoaPisa · Serie A11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 10 · 3 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.21 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.39 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.22 xG/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.2 xG/match
9.79 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3311.8 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3312.9 shots/match
2.79 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.06 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.3 shots/match
40.1%Possessionseason · 33/3348.1%
3.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/333.73 corners/match
4.76 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/335.03 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3321%
45%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa13.3
Genoa54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa10.8
Genoa40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa47.5
Genoa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa55
Genoa45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa15
Genoa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa23.1
Genoa43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
38%Possession5/553.4%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards1/1
13 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
8.3 shots/matchShots10/1013.2 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
38.9%Possession10/1051.3%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.17 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.21 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.39 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
9.79 shots/matchShots33/3311.8 shots/match
2.79 shots/matchShots on target33/334.06 shots/match
40.1%Possession33/3348.1%
3.7 corners/matchCorners33/333.73 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards29/292 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches
0.47 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.19 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.5 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.18 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots17/1611.4 shots/match
2.94 shots/matchShots on target17/163.94 shots/match
42.4%Possession17/1645.3%
3.82 corners/matchCorners17/163.75 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/132.08 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.23 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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