PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma 1–0 Pisa · Serie A

Parma

LLDDW
1–0Historical match

Pisa

WLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 1–0.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.641.71
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Pisa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Pisa): shots 15–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.64–1.71, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsParma 15 shots, Pisa 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsParma 5 shots, Pisa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG1.71 xGParma 1.64 xG, Pisa 1.71 xG
  • Possession51%49%Parma 51%, Pisa 49%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersParma 7 corners, Pisa 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsParma 10 fouls, Pisa 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsParma 1 card, Pisa 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mehdi Léris · Pisa · 28′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Caracciolo · Pisa · 28′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefano Moreo · Pisa · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEbenezer Akinsanmiro · Pisa · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRosen Bozhinov · Pisa · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Léris · Pisa · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnrico Del Prato · Parma · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMandela Keita · Parma · 9′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMichel Aebischer · Pisa · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStefano Moreo · Pisa · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Circati · Parma · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 85′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMariano Troilo · Parma · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHenrik Wendel Meister · Pisa · 76′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEbenezer Akinsanmiro · Pisa · 29′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Parma · 32′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedIsak Vural · Pisa · 6′ · 0.36 xG · on targetFilip Stojilković · Pisa · 45′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedNesta Elphege · Parma · 82′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG. Pisa: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nesta Elphege · Parma · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.53 xG · Pisa 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Parma
1Draws
1Pisa
Pisa — Parma · Serie A0–1
Parma — Pisa · Serie B3–2
Pisa — Parma · Serie B1–2
Parma — Pisa · Serie B0–1
Pisa — Parma · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Pisa in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma34 matchesPisa34 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored34/340.71 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.79 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots34/349.85 shots/match
2.82 shots/matchShots on target34/342.79 shots/match
44.5% ●Possession34/3440.4%
4.03 corners/match ●Corners34/343.71 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards28/292.1 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaPisa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headParma — Pisa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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