PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Udinese 0–1 Parma · Serie A

Udinese

DLWDW
0–1Historical match

Parma

DLLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 0–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.131.23
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Udinese 1–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Parma): shots 16–10, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.13–1.23, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsUdinese 16 shots, Parma 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotUdinese 3 shots, Parma 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.23 xGUdinese 1.13 xG, Parma 1.23 xG
  • Possession57%43%Udinese 57%, Parma 43%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersUdinese 10 corners, Parma 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsUdinese 11 fouls, Parma 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsUdinese 2 cards, Parma 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrián Bernabé · Parma · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakub Piotrowski · Udinese · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMariano Troilo · Parma · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOumar Solet · Udinese · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gueye · Udinese · 83′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIdrissa Gueye · Udinese · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetThomas Kristensen · Udinese · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 33′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Circati · Parma · 3′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedNesta Elphege · Parma · 59′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gueye · Udinese · 76′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 76′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedNesta Elphege · Parma · 51′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.22 xG. Parma: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nesta Elphege · Parma · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.22 xG · Parma 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Udinese
0Draws
0Parma
Parma — Udinese · Serie A0–2
Udinese — Parma · Serie A1–0
Parma — Udinese · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese33 matchesParma33 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.73 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/330.84 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots33/3310.9 shots/match
3.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/332.76 shots/match
45.3% ●Possession33/3344.3%
4.48 corners/match ●Corners33/333.94 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards28/281.93 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headUdinese — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required