Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milan 0–3 Udinese · Serie A

Milan

WWLWL
0–3Historical match

Udinese

WDLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 0–3.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.781.19
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat AC Milan 3–0. Recorded in this match (AC Milan – Udinese): shots 20–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.78–1.19, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AC Milan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AC Milan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AC Milan have a visible home split

moderate

AC Milan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsMilan 20 shots, Udinese 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsMilan 3 shots, Udinese 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG1.19 xGMilan 1.78 xG, Udinese 1.19 xG
  • Possession63%37%Milan 63%, Udinese 37%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersMilan 4 corners, Udinese 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsMilan 9 fouls, Udinese 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardMilan 1 card, Udinese 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRafael Leão · AC Milan · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · AC Milan · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · AC Milan · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamuele Ricci · AC Milan · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · AC Milan · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · AC Milan · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · AC Milan · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · AC Milan · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRafael Leão · AC Milan · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHassane Kamara · Udinese · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · AC Milan · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStrahinja Pavlović · AC Milan · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · AC Milan · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · AC Milan · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 71′ · 0.06 xG · goalRafael Leão · AC Milan · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 67′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRafael Leão · AC Milan · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 73′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIdrissa Gueye · Udinese · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · AC Milan · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDavide Bartesaghi · Udinese · 27′ · 0.10 xG · goalKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · AC Milan · 56′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedThomas Kristensen · Udinese · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 37′ · 0.40 xG · goalRafael Leão · AC Milan · 32′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AC Milan: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.64 xG. Udinese: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Davide Bartesaghi · Udinese · 27′Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 37′Arthur Atta · Udinese · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AC Milan 1.64 xG · Udinese 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Milan
0Draws
1Udinese
Udinese — Milan · Serie A0–3
Udinese — Milan · Serie A0–4
Milan — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Milan · Serie A2–3
Milan — Udinese · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan32 matchesUdinese32 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.19 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.31 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.07 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.2 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.63 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession32/3244.9%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners32/324.31 corners/match
1.68 cards/matchCards28/281.86 cards/match
9.84 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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