Serie A · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeNew Balance ArenaFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtalantaJuventus
Shots22 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.82 xG/match0.63 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners13 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.91 corners/matchCornersAtalanta · Juventus5.09 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaJuventusBaseline
Corners5.91 corners/match5.09 corners/match4.24 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match16.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/matchShotsAtalanta · Juventus16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaJuventusBaseline
Shots15 shots/match16.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atalanta
1Draws
0Juventus
AtalantaJuventus · Coppa Italia30
JuventusAtalanta · Serie A11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atalanta favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Juventus in 7 · 7 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/321.72 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/320.91 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.01 xG/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.08 xG/match
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3216.5 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3210.5 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/326 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/322.84 shots/match
55.2%Possessionseason · 32/3256.9%
5.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/325.09 corners/match
4.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.09 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/281.29 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3212.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3241%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3281%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atalanta72.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atalanta77.5
Juventus92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atalanta71.7
Juventus77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atalanta82.5
Juventus92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atalanta16.2
Juventus17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atalanta92.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atalanta68.8
Juventus75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.2 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.01 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots5/517.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match
56.6%Possession5/557.6%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards1/1
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.01 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots10/1017.1 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/106.2 shots/match
54.3%Possession10/1055.7%
6.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/61.33 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.72 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed32/320.91 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals4/42.01 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots32/3216.5 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target32/326 shots/match
55.2%Possession32/3256.9%
5.91 corners/matchCorners32/325.09 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards28/281.29 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.44 goals/match
0.82 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
17.4 shots/matchShots17/1613.9 shots/match
5.18 shots/matchShots on target17/165.13 shots/match
56.1%Possession17/1656.1%
7.18 corners/matchCorners17/164.19 corners/match
1.27 cards/matchCards15/141.64 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1613.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.11 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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