PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 0–3 Atalanta · Serie A

Lecce

LLWLL
0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–3.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
06
Expected goals
0.332.2
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Lecce 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Atalanta): shots 11–16, shots on target 0–6, expected goals 0.33–2.2, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.87 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Atalanta14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceAtalantaBaseline
Shots9.87 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsLecce 11 shots, Atalanta 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots6 shotsLecce 0 shots, Atalanta 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.33 xG2.2 xGLecce 0.33 xG, Atalanta 2.2 xG
  • Possession42%58%Lecce 42%, Atalanta 58%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersLecce 2 corners, Atalanta 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsLecce 10 fouls, Atalanta 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsLecce 0 cards, Atalanta 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lameck Banda · Lecce · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamil Siebert · Lecce · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamil Siebert · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Ngom · Lecce · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSadik Fofana · Lecce · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.12 xG · goalÉderson · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.16 xG · goalÉderson · Atalanta · 73′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 37′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 42′ · 0.25 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 11 shots, 0 on target, 0.34 xG. Atalanta: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Giorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 29′Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 59′Giacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.34 xG · Atalanta 2.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
1Draws
4Atalanta
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A4–1
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Atalanta · Serie A0–4
Lecce — Atalanta · Serie A0–2
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce31 matchesAtalanta31 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.87 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.57 xG/match
9.87 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 14.8 shots/match
2.35 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.68 shots/match
42%Possession31/31● 55.2%
4.42 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.71 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards28/281.64 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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