Serie A · 2025Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

WLWLW

2–0Full-time recap

Lecce

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bologna	Lecce
Shots	11 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.85 xG/match▲	0.32 xG/match
Possession	65%	35%
Corners	8 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Lecce9.75 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Lecce	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	9.75 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.5%▲PossessionBologna · Lecce41.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Lecce	Baseline
Possession	55.5%	41.8%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Bologna

1Draws

0Lecce

28 Sept 2025Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 4 too close

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/320.66 goals/match

1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.41 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.62 xG/match

0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.55 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/329.75 shots/match

10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3213 shots/match

3.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/322.31 shots/match

3.84 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.22 shots/match

55.5%Possessionseason · 32/3241.8%

4.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/324.47 corners/match

4.16 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/325.56 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/28▲1.79 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3212.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3225%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3247%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna72.5

Lecce12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna60.8

Lecce5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna69.2

Lecce41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna42.5

Lecce27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna67.5

Lecce37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna72.5

Lecce57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna65

Lecce30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.62 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/51.8 shots/match

59%Possession5/536.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.62 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots10/109.7 shots/match

3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.2 shots/match

55.9%Possession10/1039.7%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards7/61 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored32/320.66 goals/match

1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.41 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.62 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots32/329.75 shots/match

3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target32/322.31 shots/match

55.5%Possession32/3241.8%

4.59 corners/matchCorners32/324.47 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards29/281.79 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.63 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.44 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.72 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots16/168.81 shots/match

3.81 shots/match▲Shots on target16/161.94 shots/match

56.5%Possession16/1638.6%

5.19 corners/matchCorners16/164.38 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/131.46 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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