Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 2–0 Lecce · Serie A

Bologna

WLWLW
2–0Historical match

Lecce

LWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.160.32
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Lecce): shots 12–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.16–0.32, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Lecce9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaLecceBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match9.75 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.5% ●PossessionBologna · Lecce41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaLecceBaseline
Possession55.5%41.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsBologna 12 shots, Lecce 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBologna 4 shots, Lecce 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.16 xG0.32 xGBologna 2.16 xG, Lecce 0.32 xG
  • Possession64%36%Bologna 64%, Lecce 36%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersBologna 8 corners, Lecce 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsBologna 15 fouls, Lecce 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsBologna 0 cards, Lecce 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lameck Banda · Lecce · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Moro · Bologna · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Bologna · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Bologna · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 8′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 26′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 63′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 90′ · 0.26 xG · goalNicolò Casale · Bologna · 39′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 26′ · 0.80 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.38 xG. Lecce: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Remo Freuler · Bologna · 26′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.38 xG · Lecce 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
3Draws
0Lecce
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A4–0
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna32 matchesLecce32 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.66 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.41 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/320.77 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots32/329.75 shots/match
3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/322.31 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession32/3241.8%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners32/324.47 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards29/281.79 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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