Serie A · 2025Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

WWWWD

3–4Full-time recap

Inter

WLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Como	Inter
Shots	24 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.79 xG/match▲	0.88 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	1 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	7 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como

1Draws

1Inter

3 Mar 2026Como — Inter · Coppa Italia0–0

6 Dec 2025Inter — Como · Serie A4–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 7 · 6 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/32▲2.34 goals/match

0.81 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/320.91 goals/match

1.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.22 xG/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.78 xG/match

14.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/32▲17.6 shots/match

9.19 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/328.88 shots/match

5.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/32▲6.19 shots/match

3.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲2.97 shots/match

61.3%Possessionseason · 32/3259.6%

4.06 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/326.53 corners/match

3.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/32▲2.63 corners/match

2.28 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/28▲1.64 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

47%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3247%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/32▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5

Inter92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como87.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como90.8

Inter86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como37.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como65

Inter38.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como47.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como68.8

Inter88.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.22 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

61.4%Possession5/555.4%

4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.22 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShots10/1016 shots/match

5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.2 shots/match

61.6%Possession10/1059.2%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards7/61.83 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲2.34 goals/match

0.81 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/320.91 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.22 xG/match

14.5 shots/matchShots32/32▲17.6 shots/match

5.22 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲6.19 shots/match

61.3%Possession32/3259.6%

4.06 corners/matchCorners32/326.53 corners/match

2.28 cards/matchCards29/281.64 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.94 goals/match

0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed17/160.88 goals/match

2.16 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

16.4 shots/matchShots17/1616.6 shots/match

6.35 shots/match▲Shots on target17/165.25 shots/match

64.1%Possession17/1659.8%

4.53 corners/matchCorners17/165.69 corners/match

2.27 cards/matchCards15/141.64 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1613.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.34 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Como's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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