Serie A · 2025Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

Como

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloComo
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.26 xG/match0.59 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners5 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/matchShotsSassuolo · Como14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloComoBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match9.27 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.5%PossessionSassuolo · Como61.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloComoBaseline
Possession44.5%61.6%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sassuolo
0Draws
2Como
ComoSassuolo · Serie A20
ComoSassuolo · Coppa Italia30

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 11 · 3 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.73 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/330.85 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/51.53 xG/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/50.87 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3314.4 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/339.27 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/335.15 shots/match
5.12 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/333.33 shots/match
44.5%Possessionseason · 33/3361.6%
3.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.18 corners/match
4.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/333.24 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.28 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3313.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3345%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3376%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo27.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo39.2
Como87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo20.8
Como89.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo37.5
Como32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo57.5
Como65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo42.5
Como47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo32.5
Como68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.53 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/516.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
43%Possession5/564%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.53 xG/match
9.1 shots/matchShots10/1014.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
42.3%Possession10/1060.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/61.83 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.73 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed33/330.85 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.53 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots33/3314.4 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target33/335.15 shots/match
44.5%Possession33/3361.6%
3.91 corners/matchCorners33/334.18 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards28/292.28 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.44 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/160.81 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
10.4 shots/matchShots17/1612.3 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/163.88 shots/match
45%Possession17/1658.9%
4 corners/matchCorners17/163.81 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1614.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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