Serie A · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 10:30 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

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00Full-time recap

Como

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseComo
Shots14 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.96 xG/match0.6 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/matchShotsUdinese · Como14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseComoBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match9.26 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1%PossessionUdinese · Como61.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseComoBaseline
Possession45.1%61.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Udinese
0Draws
1Como
ComoUdinese · Serie A10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 8 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.71 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/310.71 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.43 xG/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.74 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3114.2 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/319.26 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/315.13 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/313.26 shots/match
45.1%Possessionseason · 31/3161.4%
4.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.16 corners/match
4.87 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/313.26 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.28 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3113.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
26%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3148%
74%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3174%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese32.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese37.5
Como85.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese47.5
Como90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese62.5
Como27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese55
Como67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese52.5
Como47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese50.6
Como70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.43 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
39.4%Possession5/563.2%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards2/31 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.2 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.43 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots10/1015 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
43.1%Possession10/1061.5%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/81.88 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.71 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed31/310.71 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.43 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots31/3114.2 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target31/315.13 shots/match
45.1%Possession31/3161.4%
4.35 corners/matchCorners31/314.16 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards28/292.28 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 15 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored16/151.47 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/150.73 goals/match
Expected goals2/1
12.4 shots/matchShots16/1512.3 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target16/153.93 shots/match
46.4%Possession16/1558.2%
4.38 corners/matchCorners16/153.53 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1514.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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