Serie A · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

Genoa

WLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusGenoa
Shots16 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.2 xG/match1.37 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/matchShotsJuventus · Genoa11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusGenoaBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.3%PossessionJuventus · Genoa47.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJuventusGenoaBaseline
Possession57.3%47.7%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus
0Draws
0Genoa
GenoaJuventus · Serie A01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 4 too close

1.74 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.16 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.42 goals/match
2.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.08 xG/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.22 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3111.7 shots/match
10.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3112.9 shots/match
6.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/313.94 shots/match
2.84 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.26 shots/match
57.3%Possessionseason · 31/3147.7%
5.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/313.65 corners/match
3.81 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/315.1 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/281.96 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3112.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
39%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3123%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3165%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus92.5
Genoa51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus81.7
Genoa40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5
Genoa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus17.5
Genoa45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus82.5
Genoa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75
Genoa41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
2.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.08 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
59.2%Possession5/547.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards2/2
10 fouls/matchFouls5/58.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
2.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.08 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots10/1012.9 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
55.4%Possession10/1049.9%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards7/71.29 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
1.74 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.16 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.42 goals/match
2.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.08 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots31/3111.7 shots/match
6.13 shots/matchShots on target31/313.94 shots/match
57.3%Possession31/3147.7%
5.19 corners/matchCorners31/313.65 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards28/281.96 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 15 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored16/151.13 goals/match
0.81 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151.53 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
19.1 shots/matchShots16/1511.3 shots/match
6.88 shots/matchShots on target16/153.87 shots/match
57.8%Possession16/1544.5%
6 corners/matchCorners16/153.67 corners/match
0.93 cards/matchCards14/132.08 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1512.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.8 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match