Serie A · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap

Cagliari

DLLLL

1–0Full-time recap

Cremonese

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cagliari	Cremonese
Shots	10 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.54 xG/match▲	0.28 xG/match
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	5 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.81 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsCagliari · Cremonese9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Cagliari	Cremonese	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	9 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	12.9 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cagliari

1Draws

0Cremonese

8 Jan 2026Cremonese — Cagliari · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 2 · 5 too close

1.03 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/320.81 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.47 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.96 xG/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.94 xG/match

10 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/329 shots/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3216.3 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/323.16 shots/match

4.66 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/325.41 shots/match

45.9%Possessionseason · 32/3245.9%

3.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.22 corners/match

5.22 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/326.41 corners/match

2.52 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲2.14 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/32▲25%

66%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3253%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari37.5

Cremonese42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari22.5

Cremonese14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari34.2

Cremonese7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari12.5

Cremonese2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari95

Cremonese67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari7.5

Cremonese2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari35

Cremonese23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.96 xG/match

10 shots/match▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match

2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/551%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.6 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.96 xG/match

9.9 shots/matchShots10/1010 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.3 shots/match

49.1%Possession10/1045.4%

3.7 corners/matchCorners10/103 corners/match

2.86 cards/matchCards7/72.14 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.03 goals/match▲Goals scored32/320.81 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.47 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.96 xG/match

10 shots/match▲Shots32/329 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target32/323.16 shots/match

45.9%Possession32/3245.9%

3.44 corners/matchCorners32/323.22 corners/match

2.52 cards/matchCards29/292.14 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches

1.06 goals/match▲Goals scored16/170.76 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.41 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

9.56 shots/match▲Shots16/177.94 shots/match

3.13 shots/match▲Shots on target16/172.76 shots/match

45.4%Possession16/1746.7%

3.81 corners/matchCorners16/173.12 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards14/152.07 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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