Serie A · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Olimpico di TorinoFull-time recap

Torino

WLWLW

2–1Full-time recap

Hellas Verona

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Torino	Hellas Verona
Shots	11 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match	1.36 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.16 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/match▲FoulsTorino · Hellas Verona15.9 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Torino	Hellas Verona	Baseline
Fouls	14.2 fouls/match	15.9 fouls/match	12.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Torino

0Draws

0Hellas Verona

4 Jan 2026Hellas Verona — Torino · Serie A0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 1 · 8 too close

1.16 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/320.72 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.72 goals/match

1.75 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.01 xG/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.8 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3211.3 shots/match

13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3213.1 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.78 shots/match

4.34 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲4.09 shots/match

44.2%Possessionseason · 32/3241%

3.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.91 corners/match

4.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.72 corners/match

2.07 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/292.41 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3215.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

34%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3216%

72%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino17.5

Hellas Verona7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino50.8

Hellas Verona33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino20.8

Hellas Verona32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino82.5

Hellas Verona87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino67.5

Hellas Verona95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino27.5

Hellas Verona37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino56.2

Hellas Verona55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.01 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match

44%Possession5/543.2%

3 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/517.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.5 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.01 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.7 shots/match

43.7%Possession10/1042.7%

3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

3.17 cards/matchCards6/72.71 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.16 goals/match▲Goals scored32/320.72 goals/match

1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.72 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.01 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots32/3211.3 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.78 shots/match

44.2%Possession32/3241%

3.88 corners/matchCorners32/323.91 corners/match

2.07 cards/matchCards28/292.41 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3215.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 17 matches

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored16/170.65 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.82 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1711.4 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.41 shots/match

45.8%Possession16/1738.6%

4 corners/matchCorners16/173.24 corners/match

1.86 cards/matchCards14/152.6 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls16/1716.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Torino's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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