Serie A · 2025Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LLLWL
01Full-time recap

Torino

LWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaTorino
Shots7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.27 xG/match1.84 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners1 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Pisa
1Draws
1Torino
TorinoPisa · Serie A22
TorinoPisa · Coppa Italia10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Torino in 7 · 7 too close

0.74 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.13 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.71 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.9 xG/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.75 xG/match
9.74 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3111.9 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3113.5 shots/match
2.68 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.29 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.35 shots/match
40%Possessionseason · 31/3144.1%
3.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/313.9 corners/match
4.87 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.52 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/282.07 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3114.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3135%
45%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3171%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5
Torino17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa10.8
Torino50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa9.2
Torino20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa47.5
Torino82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa55
Torino67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa17.5
Torino35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa21.2
Torino58.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.9 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
37.4%Possession5/543.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/2
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.9 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.6 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match
39.2%Possession10/1043.1%
3.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/72.86 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.13 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.71 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.9 xG/match
9.74 shots/matchShots31/3111.9 shots/match
2.68 shots/matchShots on target31/314.29 shots/match
40%Possession31/3144.1%
3.68 corners/matchCorners31/313.9 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards29/282.07 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
0.44 goals/matchGoals scored16/161 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.88 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
10.1 shots/matchShots16/1611.7 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target16/164.06 shots/match
42.3%Possession16/1642.5%
3.75 corners/matchCorners16/163.75 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/142.29 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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