Serie A · 2025Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

DLLWL
30Full-time recap

Pisa

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaPisa
Shots7 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.5 xG/match0.84 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners1 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AS Roma's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pisa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/matchShotsAS Roma · Pisa9.72 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaPisaBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match9.72 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AS Roma have a visible home split

moderate

AS Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1AS Roma
0Draws
0Pisa
PisaAS Roma · Serie A01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 0 · 4 too close

1.41 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/320.72 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.81 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.53 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/329.72 shots/match
10.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3214.9 shots/match
4.34 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/322.75 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/324.53 shots/match
56.4%Possessionseason · 32/3240%
4.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/323.66 corners/match
3.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.75 corners/match
1.97 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292.1 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3212.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3216%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3244%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma77.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma64.2
Pisa10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma77.5
Pisa9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma22.5
Pisa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma67.5
Pisa55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma77.5
Pisa17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma72.5
Pisa21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals4/41 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots5/58 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/537.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/52 corners/match
Cards2/2
14 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals4/41 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots10/108.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/102.9 shots/match
53%Possession10/1039.9%
5 corners/matchCorners10/102.9 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards7/72 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored32/320.72 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.81 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals4/41 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots32/329.72 shots/match
4.34 shots/matchShots on target32/322.75 shots/match
56.4%Possession32/3240%
4.94 corners/matchCorners32/323.66 corners/match
1.97 cards/matchCards29/292.1 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/161 goals/match
0.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/162.44 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
15.1 shots/matchShots16/169.38 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target16/162.63 shots/match
58.3%Possession16/1637.8%
5.63 corners/matchCorners16/163.56 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards14/142.14 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.11 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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