PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Roma 3–0 Pisa · Serie A

Roma

DLLWL
3–0Historical match

Pisa

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 3–0.

Shots
89
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.531.26
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Pisa 3–0. Recorded in this match (AS Roma – Pisa): shots 8–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.53–1.26, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pisa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Roma · Pisa9.72 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaPisaBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match9.72 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AS Roma have a visible home split

moderate

AS Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsRoma 8 shots, Pisa 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsRoma 3 shots, Pisa 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG1.26 xGRoma 1.53 xG, Pisa 1.26 xG
  • Possession59%41%Roma 59%, Pisa 41%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersRoma 1 corner, Pisa 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsRoma 11 fouls, Pisa 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardRoma 1 card, Pisa 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Piccinini · Pisa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Pisa · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefano Moreo · Pisa · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRafiu Durosinmi · Pisa · 83′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 3′ · 0.07 xG · goalRafiu Durosinmi · Pisa · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRafiu Durosinmi · Pisa · 89′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMatteo Tramoni · Pisa · 17′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 52′ · 0.20 xG · goalBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 15′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMalthe Højholt · Pisa · 48′ · 0.35 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 43′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Roma: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.50 xG. Pisa: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 3′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 43′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Roma 1.50 xG · Pisa 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
0Draws
0Pisa
Pisa — Roma · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Pisa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma32 matchesPisa32 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.72 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.81 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/320.98 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots32/329.72 shots/match
4.34 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/322.75 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession32/3240%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners32/323.66 corners/match
1.97 cards/matchCards29/292.1 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaPisa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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