PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese 1–2 Bologna · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Bologna

WWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–2.

Shots
914
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.421.11
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Cremonese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Bologna): shots 9–14, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.42–1.11, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.16 shots/match ▲ShotsCremonese · Bologna13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseBolognaBaseline
Shots9.16 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match10.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsCremonese 9 shots, Bologna 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsCremonese 3 shots, Bologna 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.42 xG1.11 xGCremonese 1.42 xG, Bologna 1.11 xG
  • Possession37%63%Cremonese 37%, Bologna 63%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCremonese 2 corners, Bologna 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsCremonese 15 fouls, Bologna 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsCremonese 2 cards, Bologna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 26′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cremonese · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Vitík · Bologna · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Mário · Bologna · 3′ · 0.03 xG · goalSantiago Castro · Bologna · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoão Mário · Bologna · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJari Vandeputte · Cremonese · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Cremonese · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNikola Moro · Bologna · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 62′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 16′ · 0.18 xG · goalFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 59′ · 0.30 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 33′ · 0.42 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.44 xG. Bologna: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Federico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 90′João Mário · Bologna · 3′Jonathan Rowe · Bologna · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 1.44 xG · Bologna 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cremonese
1Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Cremonese · Serie A1–3
Cremonese — Bologna · Serie A1–5
Bologna — Cremonese · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese31 matchesBologna31 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.19 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.18 xG/match
9.16 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.19 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 3.94 shots/match
45.4%Possession31/31● 55.2%
3.23 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.52 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards29/292.17 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCremoneseBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCremonese — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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