Serie A · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

WLWWL

0–2Full-time recap

AS Roma

LWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bologna	AS Roma
Shots	10 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.55 xG/match	2.14 xG/match▲
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	7 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.24 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma have a visible away split

moderate

AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Bologna

1Draws

1AS Roma

19 Mar 2026AS Roma — Bologna · UEFA Europa League3–4

12 Mar 2026Bologna — AS Roma · UEFA Europa League1–1

23 Aug 2025AS Roma — Bologna · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 9 · 5 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/34▲1.41 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲0.85 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.2 xG/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.09 xG/match

13 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3412.9 shots/match

10.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3410 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/34▲4.41 shots/match

3.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/343.79 shots/match

55.3%Possessionseason · 34/3455.8%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/345.06 corners/match

4.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲3.38 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.97 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3414.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲44%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna72.5

AS Roma77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna54.2

AS Roma65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna68.3

AS Roma81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna37.5

AS Roma22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna62.5

AS Roma62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna72.5

AS Roma77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna58.8

AS Roma71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.27 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

57.2%Possession5/552.6%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.2 xG/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match

3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match

55.8%Possession10/1050.6%

4 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches

1.24 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲1.41 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲0.85 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.2 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots34/3412.9 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲4.41 shots/match

55.3%Possession34/3455.8%

4.56 corners/matchCorners34/345.06 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards29/291.97 cards/match

13.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3414.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.24 goals/match

1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.12 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.32 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.4 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/173.82 shots/match

56.7%Possession17/1753.6%

5.29 corners/matchCorners17/174.41 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/152.33 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1715.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.89 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

AS Roma have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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