Serie A · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Marcantonio BentegodiFull-time recap

Hellas Verona

LLLLL

0–0Full-time recap

Lecce

LLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hellas Verona	Lecce
Shots	6 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.32 xG/match	0.64 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	2 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	19 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.68 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Hellas Verona

1Draws

0Lecce

8 Nov 2025Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Lecce in 3 · 7 too close

0.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/340.65 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.35 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/60.77 xG/match

0.78 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.29 xG/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/349.94 shots/match

12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3412.6 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/342.35 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.15 shots/match

41.3%Possessionseason · 34/3442.5%

3.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.47 corners/match

4.59 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 34/345.35 corners/match

2.41 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/28▲1.79 cards/match

15.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3412.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲26%

47%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3447%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona7.5

Lecce12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona28.3

Lecce5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona37.5

Lecce45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona87.5

Lecce27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona95

Lecce37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona37.5

Lecce57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona53.1

Lecce30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

0.91 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.77 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/543.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.7 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.77 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.3 shots/match

2.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.1 shots/match

42.2%Possession10/1039.4%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/40.75 cards/match

15.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches

0.68 goals/matchGoals scored34/340.65 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲1.35 goals/match

0.8 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.77 xG/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shots34/349.94 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target34/342.35 shots/match

41.3%Possession34/3442.5%

3.91 corners/matchCorners34/344.47 corners/match

2.41 cards/matchCards29/281.79 cards/match

15.8 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

0.71 goals/match▲Goals scored17/170.59 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.35 goals/match

0.59 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲0.7 xG/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots17/179 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target17/171.94 shots/match

44%Possession17/1739.5%

4.59 corners/matchCorners17/174.35 corners/match

2.21 cards/matchCards14/131.46 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match