PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Lecce

WLLLL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce and Fiorentina drew 1–1.

Shots
145
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.261.14
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce and Fiorentina drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Fiorentina): shots 14–5, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.26–1.14, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%PossessionLecce · Fiorentina● 51.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceFiorentinaBaseline
Possession42.2%51.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsLecce 14 shots, Fiorentina 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsLecce 4 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.14 xGLecce 1.26 xG, Fiorentina 1.14 xG
  • Possession55%45%Lecce 55%, Fiorentina 45%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersLecce 5 corners, Fiorentina 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsLecce 8 fouls, Fiorentina 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsLecce 2 cards, Fiorentina 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Walid Cheddira · Lecce · 50′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJack Harrison · Fiorentina · 30′ · 0.04 xG · goalRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOumar Ngom · Lecce · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 71′ · 0.14 xG · goalSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 87′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 75′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 54′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 81′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.75 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.35 xG. Fiorentina: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Tiago Gabriel · Lecce · 71′Jack Harrison · Fiorentina · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.35 xG · Fiorentina 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lecce
1Draws
2Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Lecce · Serie A0–1
Fiorentina — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Fiorentina · Serie A0–6
Lecce — Fiorentina · Serie A3–2
Fiorentina — Lecce · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce33 matchesFiorentina33 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.36 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.48 xG/match
9.88 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 13 shots/match
2.36 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 3.52 shots/match
42.2%Possession33/33● 51.8%
4.48 corners/matchCorners33/334.48 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards28/292.34 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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