Serie A · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

Bologna

LWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusBologna
Shots14 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.1 xG/match0.54 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus
0Draws
0Bologna
BolognaJuventus · Serie A01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 0 · 4 too close

1.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.27 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.18 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.1 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/50.99 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3313.1 shots/match
10.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3310.3 shots/match
5.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/333.76 shots/match
2.76 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/333.85 shots/match
56.9%Possessionseason · 33/3355.2%
5.12 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.48 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.21 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.17 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3313.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
42%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3330%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3373%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Bologna72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus91.7
Bologna58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus83.3
Bologna69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5
Bologna42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus17.5
Bologna65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus82.5
Bologna65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75
Bologna60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.1 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
56.8%Possession5/554.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
Cards0/1
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.1 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots10/1012.9 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
55.1%Possession10/1055%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/61.83 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.27 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.18 goals/match
1.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.1 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots33/3313.1 shots/match
5.94 shots/matchShots on target33/333.76 shots/match
56.9%Possession33/3355.2%
5.12 corners/matchCorners33/334.48 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards28/292.17 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.53 goals/match
0.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.24 goals/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.79 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots17/1711.1 shots/match
6.71 shots/matchShots on target17/173.71 shots/match
57.6%Possession17/1753.9%
6 corners/matchCorners17/173.82 corners/match
0.93 cards/matchCards14/152.6 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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