PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milan 0–0 Juventus · Serie A

Milan

LWLLW
0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan and Juventus drew 0–0.

Shots
810
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.650.52
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

AC Milan and Juventus drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (AC Milan – Juventus): shots 8–10, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.65–0.52, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AC Milan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AC Milan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AC Milan have a visible home split

moderate

AC Milan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAC Milan · Juventus16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAC MilanJuventusBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsMilan 8 shots, Juventus 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsMilan 1 shot, Juventus 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.52 xGMilan 0.65 xG, Juventus 0.52 xG
  • Possession47%53%Milan 47%, Juventus 53%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersMilan 1 corner, Juventus 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsMilan 12 fouls, Juventus 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsMilan 2 cards, Juventus 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Khéphren Thuram · Juventus · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBremer · Juventus · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuka Modrić · AC Milan · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · AC Milan · 35′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRafael Leão · AC Milan · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Juventus · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AC Milan · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Juventus · 85′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 50′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AC Milan: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.61 xG. Juventus: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AC Milan 0.61 xG · Juventus 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Milan
3Draws
2Juventus
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–0
Juventus — Milan · Serie A2–0
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–0
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–0
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan34 matchesJuventus34 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.68 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/340.85 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.73 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 5.91 shots/match
52.4%Possession34/34● 56.6%
4.35 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.09 corners/match
1.68 cards/matchCards28/281.29 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFouls34/3412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilanJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headMilan — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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