Serie A · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusHellas Verona
Shots29 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.25 xG/match0.29 xG/match
Possession76%24%
Corners14 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/matchShotsJuventus · Hellas Verona11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.4 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.4 shots/match16.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Juventus
1Draws
0Hellas Verona
Hellas VeronaJuventus · Serie A11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 12 of 14 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 2 too close

1.66 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/350.69 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/351.63 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/70.73 xG/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/70.99 xG/match
16.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3511.1 shots/match
10.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/3513.3 shots/match
5.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/353.69 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/354.09 shots/match
57.3%Possessionseason · 35/3540.8%
5.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/353.83 corners/match
3.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/354.86 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.41 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3515.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3517%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3549%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Hellas Verona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus90.8
Hellas Verona24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus85.8
Hellas Verona30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5
Hellas Verona87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus15
Hellas Verona93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus82.5
Hellas Verona32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus73.8
Hellas Verona49.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.75 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/544%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/1
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.5 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.73 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.1 shots/match
57.7%Possession10/1042.2%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
0.67 cards/matchCards3/43.25 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1016 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 35 matches
1.66 goals/matchGoals scored35/350.69 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.63 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.73 xG/match
16.6 shots/matchShots35/3511.1 shots/match
5.94 shots/matchShots on target35/353.69 shots/match
57.3%Possession35/3540.8%
5.31 corners/matchCorners35/353.83 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards28/292.41 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3515.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
1.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/180.67 goals/match
0.78 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.78 goals/match
1.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/30.92 xG/match
19.4 shots/matchShots18/1811.1 shots/match
6.72 shots/matchShots on target18/183.39 shots/match
58.6%Possession18/1837.8%
6.44 corners/matchCorners18/183.11 corners/match
0.93 cards/matchCards14/152.6 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1816.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.89 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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