PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter 2–0 Parma · Serie A

Inter

DWWWD
2–0Historical match

Parma

LDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–0.

Shots
124
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
2.090.27
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Parma 2–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Parma): shots 12–4, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 2.09–0.27, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.34 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.34 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Parma10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterParmaBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against8.94 shots/match14.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.5% ●PossessionInter · Parma44.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterParmaBaseline
Possession59.5%44.4%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots4 shotsInter 12 shots, Parma 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsInter 5 shots, Parma 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG0.27 xGInter 2.09 xG, Parma 0.27 xG
  • Possession59%41%Inter 59%, Parma 41%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersInter 8 corners, Parma 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsInter 9 fouls, Parma 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsInter 1 card, Parma 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Parma · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPetar Sučić · Inter · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNesta Elphege · Parma · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 32′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 45′ · 0.31 xG · goalDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 72′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 80′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.06 xG. Parma: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 45′Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.06 xG · Parma 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter
1Draws
0Parma
Parma — Inter · Serie A0–2
Parma — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Parma · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter35 matchesParma35 matches
2.34 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/350.71 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.2 goals/match
1.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/350.84 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots35/3510.8 shots/match
6.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/352.74 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession35/3544.4%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners35/354 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards28/281.93 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headInter — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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