Serie A · 2025Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma 2–3 Roma · Serie A

Parma

DDWWL
2–3Historical match

Roma

LWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 2–3.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.732.62
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Parma 3–2. Recorded in this match (Parma – AS Roma): shots 11–15, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.73–2.62, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma have a visible away split

moderate

AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · AS Roma13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaAS RomaBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match9.89 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsParma 11 shots, Roma 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsParma 3 shots, Roma 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG2.62 xGParma 0.73 xG, Roma 2.62 xG
  • Possession34%66%Parma 34%, Roma 66%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersParma 3 corners, Roma 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsParma 14 fouls, Roma 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards0 cardsParma 4 cards, Roma 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Christian Ordoñez · Parma · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWesley · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDevyne Rensch · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · AS Roma · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNesta Elphege · Parma · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 47′ · 0.09 xG · goalDaniele Ghilardi · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 37′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 73′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMandela Keita · Parma · 87′ · 0.17 xG · goalDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 22′ · 0.19 xG · goalMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 29′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 51′ · 0.46 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG. AS Roma: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Gabriel Strefezza · Parma · 47′Mandela Keita · Parma · 87′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 22′Devyne Rensch · AS Roma · 90′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 0.70 xG · AS Roma 2.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
0Draws
3Roma
Roma — Parma · Serie A2–1
Parma — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Parma · Serie A5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma36 matchesRoma36 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.4 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 13 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.56 shots/match
44.1%Possession36/36● 56.2%
3.97 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.06 corners/match
2.03 cards/matchCards29/301.9 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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