Serie A · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 10:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

LLWDW
10Full-time recap

Parma

DWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoParma
Shots23 shots/match2 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.9 xG/match0.43 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners15 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Como's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/matchShotsComo · Parma10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoParmaBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against9.08 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.4%PossessionComo · Parma43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoParmaBaseline
Possession61.4%43.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como
1Draws
0Parma
ParmaComo · Serie A00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 1 · 2 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/370.73 goals/match
0.76 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/371.24 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/90.63 xG/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.54 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3710.5 shots/match
9.08 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/3714.3 shots/match
5.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/372.73 shots/match
3.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/374.38 shots/match
61.4%Possessionseason · 37/3743.8%
4.49 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/373.92 corners/match
3.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/375.05 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292.03 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3710.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
51%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3732%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3757%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
Parma17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como87.5
Parma15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como90.8
Parma34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como37.5
Parma52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como70
Parma30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como62.5
Parma42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como75
Parma21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.84 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/58.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.2 shots/match
61.4%Possession5/540.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/1
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.7 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.63 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots10/107.3 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/102.1 shots/match
61.4%Possession10/1041.3%
5.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
Cards2/2
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

37 / 37 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored37/370.73 goals/match
0.76 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.24 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals9/90.63 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots37/3710.5 shots/match
5.08 shots/matchShots on target37/372.73 shots/match
61.4%Possession37/3743.8%
4.49 corners/matchCorners37/373.92 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards29/292.03 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
1.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.63 goals/match
0.79 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.11 goals/match
2.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.59 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots19/199 shots/match
6.32 shots/matchShots on target19/192.53 shots/match
63.8%Possession19/1942.4%
5 corners/matchCorners19/193.53 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards15/142 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.75 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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