PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Roma 4–0 Fiorentina · Serie A

Roma

WLWDW
4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 4–0.

Shots
144
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.240.14
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0. Recorded in this match (AS Roma – Fiorentina): shots 14–4, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.24–0.14, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsRoma 14 shots, Fiorentina 4 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotRoma 7 shots, Fiorentina 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.14 xGRoma 2.24 xG, Fiorentina 0.14 xG
  • Possession61%39%Roma 61%, Fiorentina 39%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersRoma 4 corners, Fiorentina 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsRoma 12 fouls, Fiorentina 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRoma 2 cards, Fiorentina 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Zeki Çelik · AS Roma · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · AS Roma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Braschi · Fiorentina · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · Fiorentina · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 52′ · 0.07 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · AS Roma · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWesley · AS Roma · 17′ · 0.12 xG · goalDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 58′ · 0.24 xG · goalGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 13′ · 0.39 xG · goalMario Hermoso · AS Roma · 34′ · 0.90 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Roma: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.13 xG. Fiorentina: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 13′Wesley · AS Roma · 17′Mario Hermoso · AS Roma · 34′Niccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Roma 2.13 xG · Fiorentina 0.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Roma
2Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A1–2
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A5–1
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma35 matchesFiorentina35 matches
1.49 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.09 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.4 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.45 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots35/3513 shots/match
4.49 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.49 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession35/3551.3%
5.03 corners/match ●Corners35/354.57 corners/match
1.97 cards/matchCards29/292.34 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headRoma — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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