Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese 1–2 Lazio · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Lazio

WDLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–2.

Shots
138
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.550.8
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Cremonese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Lazio): shots 13–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.55–0.8, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsCremonese 13 shots, Lazio 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCremonese 5 shots, Lazio 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.8 xGCremonese 0.55 xG, Lazio 0.8 xG
  • Possession42%58%Cremonese 42%, Lazio 58%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersCremonese 3 corners, Lazio 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsCremonese 16 fouls, Lazio 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsCremonese 1 card, Lazio 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Cremonese · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWarren Bondo · Cremonese · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatric · Lazio · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 29′ · 0.04 xG · goalOliver Provstgaard · Lazio · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamie Vardy · Cremonese · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Cremonese · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Barbieri · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 41′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalAntonio Sanabria · Cremonese · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 50′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOliver Provstgaard · Lazio · 6′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 53′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.56 xG. Lazio: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Federico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 29′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 53′Tijjani Noslin · Lazio · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 0.56 xG · Lazio 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cremonese
1Draws
2Lazio
Lazio — Cremonese · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Cremonese · Serie A3–2
Cremonese — Lazio · Serie A0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese35 matchesLazio35 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.51 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 0.97 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.13 xG/match
9.23 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 11.1 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 3.97 shots/match
46.4%Possession35/35● 50.6%
3.4 corners/matchCorners35/35● 3.69 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards29/272.3 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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