Serie A · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

DLWDW

0–3Full-time recap

Inter

WWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Inter
Shots	9 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	5 shots/match
Expected goals	0.55 xG/match	1.13 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	5 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Inter17.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lazio	Inter	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	17.3 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	8.92 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.4%▲PossessionLazio · Inter59.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lazio	Inter	Baseline
Possession	50.4%	59.5%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lazio

0Draws

1Inter

9 Nov 2025Inter — Lazio · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 10 · 3 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲2.36 goals/match

1.03 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/36▲0.86 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/81.47 xG/match

0.91 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/81.35 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲17.3 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲8.92 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲6.06 shots/match

4.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/36▲2.86 shots/match

50.4%Possessionseason · 36/3659.5%

3.72 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/366.31 corners/match

4.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲2.94 corners/match

2.32 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/29▲1.62 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3613.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

42%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/36▲50%

56%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio52.5

Inter92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio42.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio49.2

Inter89.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio7.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio42.5

Inter32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio17.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio30

Inter86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.52 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.55 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match

49.2%Possession5/555.2%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.3 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals9/81.47 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.5 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match

50%Possession10/1056.9%

3.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match

—Cards2/31.67 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲2.36 goals/match

1.03 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲0.86 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals9/81.47 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots36/36▲17.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲6.06 shots/match

50.4%Possession36/3659.5%

3.72 corners/matchCorners36/366.31 corners/match

2.32 cards/matchCards28/291.62 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.39 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲2 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲0.89 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.17 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots18/18▲16.3 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲5.22 shots/match

49.7%Possession18/1859.8%

4.56 corners/matchCorners18/185.39 corners/match

2.64 cards/matchCards14/151.6 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls18/1813 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.89 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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