PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 0–1 Juventus · Serie A

Lecce

LLDDW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 0–1.

Shots
815
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.882.29
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Juventus): shots 8–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.88–2.29, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.64 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.81 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Juventus16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceJuventusBaseline
Shots9.81 shots/match16.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match16.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsLecce 8 shots, Juventus 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsLecce 3 shots, Juventus 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG2.29 xGLecce 0.88 xG, Juventus 2.29 xG
  • Possession35%65%Lecce 35%, Juventus 65%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersLecce 1 corner, Juventus 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls18 foulsLecce 7 fouls, Juventus 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardLecce 1 card, Juventus 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Santiago Pierotti · Lecce · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Juventus · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 71′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 4′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 75′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Juventus · 79′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Juventus · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 72′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 48′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 77′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 3′ · 0.21 xG · on targetBremer · Juventus · 22′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 1′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.86 xG. Juventus: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dušan Vlahović · Juventus · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.86 xG · Juventus 2.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
3Juventus
Juventus — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Lecce · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Juventus · Serie A0–3
Juventus — Lecce · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce36 matchesJuventus36 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.77 xG/match
9.81 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 16.6 shots/match
2.42 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 5.94 shots/match
42.3%Possession36/36● 57.4%
4.28 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.39 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards28/281.29 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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