Serie A · 2025Sun, 10 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

Pisa

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremonesePisa
Shots10 shots/match0 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.15 xG/match0 xG/match
Possession77%23%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cremonese
0Draws
1Pisa
PisaCremonese · Serie A10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 5 · 2 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/360.69 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.83 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.07 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.45 xG/match
9.22 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/369.81 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3614.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/362.83 shots/match
5.19 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/364.58 shots/match
47.2%Possessionseason · 36/3640.4%
3.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/363.69 corners/match
6.03 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/364.78 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/302.23 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3613.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3614%
53%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3644%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese42.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese15.8
Pisa11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese7.5
Pisa9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Pisa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese62.5
Pisa62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese2.5
Pisa15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese25
Pisa23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
0.6 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.08 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots5/510.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
58%Possession5/543%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.5 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.3 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.07 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots10/108.8 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103.1 shots/match
53%Possession10/1040.2%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored36/360.69 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.83 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.07 xG/match
9.22 shots/matchShots36/369.81 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target36/362.83 shots/match
47.2%Possession36/3640.4%
3.44 corners/matchCorners36/363.69 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards30/302.23 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/180.89 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/182.39 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/40.63 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots18/189 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target18/182.5 shots/match
47.8%Possession18/1837.6%
3.67 corners/matchCorners18/183.44 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/152.4 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.76 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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