Serie A · 2025Sun, 10 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Artemio FranchiFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

Genoa

LWWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFiorentinaGenoa
Shots13 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.97 xG/match0.58 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fiorentina
1Draws
0Genoa
GenoaFiorentina · Serie A22

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 4 · 6 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/361.11 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.33 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/80.98 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.17 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/3611.6 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3613 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/363.89 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/364.22 shots/match
51.5%Possessionseason · 36/3647.8%
4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/363.61 corners/match
4.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/364.97 corners/match
2.34 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3612.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3625%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3661%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina57.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina41.7
Genoa44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina34.2
Genoa40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina67.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina60
Genoa43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina67.5
Genoa7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina49.4
Genoa35.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.91 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/548.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals8/80.98 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
48.8%Possession10/1047.9%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.11 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.33 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals8/80.98 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots36/3611.6 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on target36/363.89 shots/match
51.5%Possession36/3647.8%
4.56 corners/matchCorners36/363.61 corners/match
2.34 cards/matchCards29/292 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.06 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.33 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.93 xG/match
15.9 shots/matchShots18/1811 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target18/183.78 shots/match
52.9%Possession18/1844.8%
5.61 corners/matchCorners18/183.61 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards14/132.08 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.76 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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