Serie A · 2025Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

WLLWW
02Full-time recap

Como

WWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaComo
Shots9 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.59 xG/match0.98 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Como's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Como have a visible away split

moderate

Como's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.1 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/matchShotsGenoa · Como14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaComoBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match9.26 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Genoa
1Draws
0Como
ComoGenoa · Serie A11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 11 · 2 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.74 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/340.82 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.44 xG/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/60.83 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3414.2 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/349.26 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/345.06 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/343.26 shots/match
48.2%Possessionseason · 34/3461.3%
3.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.15 corners/match
4.97 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/343.21 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292.28 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3413.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3447%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3476%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa47.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa54.2
Como87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa37.5
Como89.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa52.5
Como27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa45
Como67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa12.5
Como47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa41.2
Como70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.29 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/560.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards1/0
10 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.44 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1013.3 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match
52.3%Possession10/1059%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.74 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed34/340.82 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.44 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots34/3414.2 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target34/345.06 shots/match
48.2%Possession34/3461.3%
3.68 corners/matchCorners34/344.15 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards29/292.28 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 17 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/171.47 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed18/170.76 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.72 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots18/1712.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target18/173.76 shots/match
50.8%Possession18/1758.4%
3.61 corners/matchCorners18/173.76 corners/match
1.94 cards/matchCards16/142.29 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1714.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.85 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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