PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa 3–0 Torino · Serie A

Genoa

DWLLD
3–0Historical match

Torino

LLWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 3–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.80.57
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Torino 3–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Torino): shots 16–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.8–0.57, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsGenoa 16 shots, Torino 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsGenoa 5 shots, Torino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG0.57 xGGenoa 1.8 xG, Torino 0.57 xG
  • Possession62%38%Genoa 62%, Torino 38%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersGenoa 1 corner, Torino 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsGenoa 9 fouls, Torino 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardGenoa 0 cards, Torino 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafael Obrador · Torino · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrooke Norton-Cuffy · Genoa · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJean Onana · Genoa · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Torino · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Torino · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrooke Norton-Cuffy · Genoa · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Genoa · 40′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBrooke Norton-Cuffy · Genoa · 22′ · 0.13 xG · goalSandro Kulenović · Torino · 42′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 83′ · 0.26 xG · goalDuván Zapata · Torino · 68′ · 0.28 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 40′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.90 xG. Torino: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Brooke Norton-Cuffy · Genoa · 22′Caleb Ekuban · Genoa · 40′Junior Messias · Genoa · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.90 xG · Torino 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
3Draws
2Torino
Torino — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Torino — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Torino · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Torino · Serie A0–0
Torino — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa26 matchesTorino26 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.96 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.81 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.09 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots26/2611.7 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on target26/264.19 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession26/2644.1%
3.62 corners/matchCorners26/26● 3.96 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards26/261.96 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headGenoa — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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