PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino 1–2 Bologna · Serie A

Torino

LLLWD
1–2Historical match

Bologna

WLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–2.

Shots
714
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.491.35
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Torino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Torino – Bologna): shots 7–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.49–1.35, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.36 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionTorino · Bologna● 55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTorinoBolognaBaseline
Possession44.4%55%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsTorino 7 shots, Bologna 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsTorino 2 shots, Bologna 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG1.35 xGTorino 0.49 xG, Bologna 1.35 xG
  • Possession47%53%Torino 47%, Bologna 53%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersTorino 4 corners, Bologna 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsTorino 14 fouls, Bologna 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardTorino 3 cards, Bologna 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Saúl Coco · Torino · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mário · Bologna · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Bologna · 49′ · 0.10 xG · goalJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 47′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 70′ · 0.11 xG · goalFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 26′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 62′ · 0.14 xG · goalSantiago Castro · Bologna · 21′ · 0.26 xG · on targetSimon Sohm · Bologna · 60′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG. Bologna: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 62′Nikola Vlašić · Bologna · 49′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.43 xG · Bologna 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Torino
2Draws
3Bologna
Bologna — Torino · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A3–2
Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Torino — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino25 matchesBologna25 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.21 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.96 shots/match
44.4%Possession25/25● 55%
4 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.68 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards25/252.2 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2514.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headTorino — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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