PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Genoa

WDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseGenoa
Shots19 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Possession35%65%
Corners6 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.12 shots/match▲ShotsCremonese · Genoa11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseGenoaBaseline
Shots9.12 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Cremonese
0Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Cremonese · Serie A0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Genoa in 7 · 5 too close

0.84 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.16 goals/match
1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.48 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.12 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/25▲11.6 shots/match
17.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/25▲13.6 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲4.08 shots/match
5.68 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/25▲4.48 shots/match
45%Possessionseason · 25/2547.2%
3.28 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/253.72 corners/match
6.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/25▲5.2 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/252.12 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2513.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2520%
52%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲68%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese27.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese14.2
Genoa50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese15.8
Genoa30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Genoa47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese50
Genoa61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese2.5
Genoa22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese17.5
Genoa46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/549.6%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.2 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match
43.2%Possession10/1046.1%
2.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.16 goals/match
1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.12 shots/matchShots25/25▲11.6 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲4.08 shots/match
45%Possession25/2547.2%
3.28 corners/matchCorners25/253.72 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards25/252.12 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.67 shots/matchShots12/12▲11.7 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.17 shots/match
45.3%Possession12/1244%
3.17 corners/matchCorners12/123.83 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards12/122.17 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.88 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCremoneseGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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