PitchMath
Serie A · 2025New Balance Arena

Atalanta 2–1 Cremonese · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–1.

Shots
2912
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.110.62
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Cremonese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Cremonese): shots 29–12, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.11–0.62, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Cremonese8.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaCremoneseBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match8.71 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match17 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots12 shotsAtalanta 29 shots, Cremonese 12 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsAtalanta 9 shots, Cremonese 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG0.62 xGAtalanta 2.11 xG, Cremonese 0.62 xG
  • Possession56%44%Atalanta 56%, Cremonese 44%
  • Corners13 corners2 cornersAtalanta 13 corners, Cremonese 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsAtalanta 11 fouls, Cremonese 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsAtalanta 2 cards, Cremonese 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tommaso Barbieri · Cremonese · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMorten Thorsby · Cremonese · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Cremonese · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Cremonese · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 25′ · 0.07 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Cremonese · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 21′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Cremonese · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMartín Payero · Cremonese · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Cremonese · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 13′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 29 shots, 9 on target, 2.12 xG. Cremonese: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nikola Krstović · Atalanta · 13′Davide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 25′Morten Thorsby · Cremonese · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 2.12 xG · Cremonese 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atalanta
2Draws
0Cremonese
Cremonese — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Cremonese — Atalanta · Serie A1–3
Atalanta — Cremonese · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cremonese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta24 matchesCremonese24 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.88 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.38 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.95 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/248.71 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.04 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession24/2445.5%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners24/243.17 corners/match
1.58 cards/matchCards24/242.08 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaCremonese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headAtalanta — Cremonese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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