PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Roma 2–0 Cagliari · Serie A

Roma

WWWDL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 2–0.

Shots
153
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.330.35
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (AS Roma – Cagliari): shots 15–3, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.33–0.35, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Roma · Cagliari9.96 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaCagliariBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9.96 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.58 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

58% ●PossessionAS Roma · Cagliari45.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaCagliariBaseline
Possession58%45.3%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots3 shotsRoma 15 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotRoma 5 shots, Cagliari 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.35 xGRoma 1.33 xG, Cagliari 0.35 xG
  • Possession53%47%Roma 53%, Cagliari 47%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerRoma 7 corners, Cagliari 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsRoma 18 fouls, Cagliari 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsRoma 2 cards, Cagliari 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alberto Dossena · Cagliari · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIbrahim Sulemana · Cagliari · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · AS Roma · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · AS Roma · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · AS Roma · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 36′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 25′ · 0.13 xG · goalLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 37′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Ghilardi · AS Roma · 41′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Dossena · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 65′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Roma: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.33 xG. Cagliari: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 25′Donyell Malen · AS Roma · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Roma 1.33 xG · Cagliari 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
1Draws
1Cagliari
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A4–0
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma24 matchesCagliari24 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.17 goals/match
0.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.38 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.93 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots24/249.96 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.5 shots/match
58% ●Possession24/2445.3%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners24/243.33 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards24/242.38 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2415.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headRoma — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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