PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 0–2 Lecce · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Lecce

LLDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 0–2.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
04
Expected goals
1.011.35
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Lecce): shots 11–13, shots on target 0–4, expected goals 1.01–1.35, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsCagliari 11 shots, Lecce 13 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots4 shotsCagliari 0 shots, Lecce 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.35 xGCagliari 1.01 xG, Lecce 1.35 xG
  • Possession59%41%Cagliari 59%, Lecce 41%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersCagliari 8 corners, Lecce 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsCagliari 16 fouls, Lecce 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsCagliari 0 cards, Lecce 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ibrahim Sulemana · Cagliari · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 76′ · 0.02 xG · goalMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Lecce · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Lecce · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYael Trepy · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOumar Ngom · Lecce · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sulemana · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Lecce · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYael Trepy · Cagliari · 86′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 58′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAdam Obert · Cagliari · 71′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 65′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 11 shots, 0 on target, 0.97 xG. Lecce: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Omri Gandelman · Lecce · 65′Ylber Ramadani · Lecce · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.97 xG · Lecce 1.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cagliari
2Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A4–1
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Cagliari · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari25 matchesLecce25 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.68 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
0.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.81 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots25/2510.3 shots/match
3.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/252.52 shots/match
45.9% ●Possession25/2543.7%
3.52 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.76 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards25/251.88 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCagliari — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required