Serie A · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

Lazio

LDWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariLazio
Shots11 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession42%58%
Corners3 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cagliari
0Draws
1Lazio
LazioCagliari · Serie A20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Lazio in 6 · 6 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/260.96 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2611.2 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/2613.8 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/263.85 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/264.31 shots/match
45.7%Possessionseason · 26/2650.5%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/263.73 corners/match
5.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/263.81 corners/match
2.35 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/262.35 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2610.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2646%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari37.5
Lazio52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari22.5
Lazio36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari31.7
Lazio46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari7.5
Lazio12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari90
Lazio50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari7.5
Lazio17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari32.5
Lazio27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.6 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
48%Possession5/552.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.2 shots/matchShots10/1011.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.1 shots/match
46.4%Possession10/1049.7%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored26/261 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed26/260.96 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10 shots/matchShots26/2611.2 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target26/263.85 shots/match
45.7%Possession26/2650.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners26/263.73 corners/match
2.35 cards/matchCards26/262.35 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/130.62 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/130.69 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
9.85 shots/matchShots13/139.54 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target13/133.08 shots/match
47.2%Possession13/1350.8%
4 corners/matchCorners13/132.54 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards13/132.08 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.11 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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